Phase 2: Financial Modeling & Projections
Comprehensive financial analysis for the Amagator Scale-Up Initiative 2025-26 (Palani Hub Expansion).
Investment Summary
| Metric | Amount |
|---|
| Total Project Investment | ₹47.22 Crores |
| Fleet Investment | ₹39.47 Crores |
| Additional Requirements | ₹7.75 Crores |
| Total Fleet Units | 200 |
| Bulk Discount Savings | ₹1.97 Crores |
Key Projections (Realistic Scenario)
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 5 |
|---|
| Revenue | ₹10.83 Cr | ₹18.95 Cr |
| EBITDA | -₹0.58 Cr | ₹2.47 Cr |
| EBITDA Margin | -5.3% | 13.1% |
| IRR | — | 23% |
| Payback Period | — | 37 months |
Financing Structure
| Component | Amount | Percentage |
|---|
| Debt Financing | ₹33.06 Cr | 70% |
| Equity | ₹14.17 Cr | 30% |
| Monthly Loan Repayment | ₹55.09 Lakhs | — |
Detailed Analysis
Navigate to individual sections for comprehensive data:
- Fleet Investment - Equipment breakdown, costs, and bulk discounts
- Revenue Projections - Three-scenario revenue models
- Cost Structure - Fixed and variable cost analysis
- P&L Projections - 5-year profit & loss forecasts
- Cash Flow - Monthly cash flow and working capital
- Partner Investment - Investment partnership models
- Break-Even Analysis - Utilization and sensitivity analysis
- Risk Assessment - Risk matrix and mitigation strategies
- ROI Analysis - IRR and payback calculations
- Implementation - Timeline and budget
Scenario Comparison
| Scenario | Annual Revenue | 5-Year IRR | Payback |
|---|
| Conservative | ₹8.33 Cr | 12% | 50 months |
| Realistic | ₹10.83 Cr | 23% | 37 months |
| Optimistic | ₹15.91 Cr | 35% | 28 months |
Critical Success Factors
- Minimum Viability: 75% utilization (22.5 days/month)
- Cash Flow Positive: 100% utilization (30 days/month)
- Full ROI Target: 150% utilization (45 days/month)